Channel 14 updates its election exit poll, giving Netanyahu's bloc a 62-seat majority. Other exit polls paint a different picture.
A dramatic development in the exit polls for Israel's 26th Knesset elections: Channel 14 released an updated projection early Wednesday morning showing that Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beytenu party had fallen below the electoral threshold.
As a result, Netanyahu's bloc rose to 62 seats, giving it the parliamentary majority needed to form a government, according to the updated poll.
The revision marked a significant change from Channel 14's initial projection, which had given Yisrael Beytenu four seats and Netanyahu's bloc just 60.
The update highlighted the substantial differences among the six exit polls released when voting ended. While Channel 14 now projects a 61-seat majority for Netanyahu's bloc, Channel 12 News, Channel 13 News, and Kan 11 News each give the bloc just 50 seats. The i24NEWS poll projects 55 seats, while Channel 16 gives Netanyahu's bloc 53.
All six exit polls show Likud as the largest party, with between 24 and 30 seats, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party is projected to win between 19 and 23 seats.
Channel 12 News exit poll
According to the Channel 12 News exit poll, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party is projected to win 27 seats, while Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party receives 21.
Naftali Bennett's party and the Joint List are each projected to win 12 seats, followed by the Democrats with nine. Ra'am, Shas, and Yisrael Beytenu each receive seven seats, while the Religious Zionist Party, Otzma Yehudit, and United Torah Judaism are each projected to win six.
In terms of political blocs, Netanyahu's bloc is projected to win 52 seats, Eisenkot's bloc 49, and the Arab parties 19.
Kan 11 News exit poll
The Kan 11 News exit poll, conducted by Dudi Hasid and the Kantar polling institute, projects 27 seats for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party, compared to 21 for Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party.
Together is projected to win 13 seats, the Joint List 11, and the Democrats nine.
Yisrael Beytenu is projected to receive eight seats and Ra'am seven, while Otzma Yehudit, the joint Religious Zionist-Zehut list, Shas, and United Torah Judaism are each projected to win six seats.
According to the exit poll, Amcha Yisrael, the Hendel-Zelekha party, the Haredi Public party, and Noam are all projected to fall below the electoral threshold.
In terms of political blocs, the updated exit poll projects a tie between Eisenkot's bloc and Netanyahu's bloc, with 51 seats each, while the Arab parties are projected to win 18 seats.
i24NEWS Exit Poll
The i24NEWS exit poll, conducted by Tzuriel Sharon of the Direct Polls institute, gives Netanyahu's Likud 27 seats, compared to 20 for Eisenkot's Yashar party.
Together receives 15 seats, while Yair Golan's Democrats and the Joint List each win nine. Shas receives eight seats.
United Torah Judaism, Ra'am, and Otzma Yehudit each receive seven seats, Religious Zionism wins six, and Avigdor Lieberman's Yisrael Beytenu receives five.
The projected bloc breakdown gives Netanyahu's bloc 55 seats, Eisenkot's bloc 49, and the Arab parties 16.
Channel 14 Exit Poll
Channel 14 is the only one of the six election-night exit polls to project a parliamentary majority for Netanyahu's bloc following the overnight update.
According to the updated exit poll, Likud is projected to win 31 seats, Yashar 20, while Together and the Joint List each receive 11 seats.
Shas is projected to win 10 seats, the Democrats nine, while Ra'am, the joint Religious Zionist Party-Zehut list, Otzma Yehudit, and United Torah Judaism each receive seven seats.
According to the exit poll, Avigdor Liberman's Yisrael Beytenu fails to cross the electoral threshold, as do the Reservists-Economic Party, Amcha Yisrael, the Haredi Public party, and Noam LeYisrael.
Channel 13 News exit poll
The Channel 13 News exit poll, conducted by the Madad polling institute, projects 27 seats for Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud party, compared to 22 for Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party.
Together is projected to win 13 seats, while the Joint List receives 11. The Democrats are projected to win nine seats, Yisrael Beytenu and Ra'am seven each, while United Torah Judaism, Shas, Otzma Yehudit, and the joint Religious Zionist Party-Zehut list each receive six seats.
According to the exit poll, the parties led by Ofer Winter, Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha, and Leitner are projected to fall below the electoral threshold.
In terms of political blocs, the opposition and coalition blocs are each projected to win 51 seats, while the Arab parties receive 18.
Channel 16 exit poll
The Channel 16 exit poll gives Netanyahu's Likud 25 seats, compared to 22 for Yashar.
Together receives 13 seats, the Joint List 11, and the Democrats 10.
Otzma Yehudit, United Torah Judaism, Shas, and the Religious Zionist Party each receive seven seats, while Yisrael Beytenu wins six and Ra'am five.
According to the poll, Ofer Winter's Amcha Yisrael party and the Reservists-Economic Party led by Yoaz Hendel and Yaron Zelekha fail to cross the electoral threshold.
The projected bloc breakdown gives Netanyahu's bloc 53 seats, the change bloc 51, and the Arab parties 16.
Exit polls are only the beginning
Despite the dramatic developments surrounding the exit polls, it is important to remember that these are not the official election results. Exit polls are based on statistical estimates, and the picture may change as vote counting progresses.
The final results will only be determined once all votes have been counted, including ballots cast in double envelopes, which could affect the distribution of Knesset seats and the fate of parties hovering near the electoral threshold.
In any case, the long political night is only beginning. After a day in which millions of Israelis went to the polls, the central question is not only who won the election, but who will be able to translate the results into a political victory and form Israel's next government.
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